Sunday 28 June 2015

Three different things...................from Rico

Three different things that mean the same things.
- There is NO "recovery"
- There is a "pattern"
- It doesn't look good"
 
1. The labor force participation rate and the notional value of bonds/equities have inverted. Some would call it a death cross....especially the 'uncounted' unemployed.
 
2. New orders for consumer goods has fallen and it can't get up. If you don't have a job or diposable income, you aren't a consumer.
 
3. Margin debt? Decide for yourself, but buying overpriced-overvalued equities on margin (credit) is going to increase the pain ahead and it won't make you rich.
 
Now about that "recovery".............



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